{"id":3295,"date":"2026-07-13T11:12:57","date_gmt":"2026-07-13T09:12:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/goldmansons.ee\/precious-metals-week-fed-and-hormuz-weigh-on-gold\/"},"modified":"2026-07-13T11:12:57","modified_gmt":"2026-07-13T09:12:57","slug":"precious-metals-week-fed-and-hormuz-weigh-on-gold","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/goldmansons.ee\/en\/precious-metals-week-fed-and-hormuz-weigh-on-gold\/","title":{"rendered":"Precious Metals Week: Fed and Hormuz Weigh on Gold"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>It was a jittery week for precious metals. Gold swung around $4,100 an ounce as a hawkish Federal Reserve and a firm dollar kept prices under pressure, while flaring tensions around the Strait of Hormuz offered a fleeting safe-haven bid. Below are the week&#8217;s key developments and what they mean for the Estonian investor.<\/p>\n<h2>The week&#8217;s main events<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Fed minutes reinforced the &#8220;higher-for-longer&#8221; stance.<\/strong> The minutes of the Federal Reserve&#8217;s meeting showed policymakers still fixated on stubborn inflation, and the market repriced rate expectations toward a higher path. That pushed gold down to $4,074.70 on 8 July (\u22120.73%) and silver to $58.13 (\u22122.85%); the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield climbed toward 4.58%, which dents the appeal of a non-yielding asset like gold. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kitco.com\/news\/article\/2026-07-08\/gold-slides-fed-minutes-hormuz-oil-spike-lift-yields-kitco-pm-report\">Kitco, 8 July 2026<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Hormuz tensions lifted oil and gave gold a safe-haven nudge.<\/strong> The U.S. accused Iran of striking three commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz and announced fresh strikes; crude jumped sharply (WTI +6.45% to $74.93, Brent +6.18% to $78.73). Geopolitical risk usually supports gold, but this time the rally was capped by simultaneously rising bond yields and a stronger dollar. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kitco.com\/news\/article\/2026-07-08\/gold-slides-fed-minutes-hormuz-oil-spike-lift-yields-kitco-pm-report\">Kitco, 8 July 2026<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li><strong>HSBC trimmed its gold price forecast.<\/strong> The bank lowered its 2026 average forecast from $4,864 to $4,560 and its 2027 figure from $5,000 to $4,925, citing a more hawkish U.S. monetary tone and a stronger dollar. Gold was trading around $4,100 at the time of the note \u2014 more than 20% below the 29 January record of $5,594.82. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kitco.com\/news\/off-the-wire\/2026-07-09\/hsbc-lowers-2026-27-gold-price-forecasts-hawkish-fed-tilt\">Kitco, 9 July 2026<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Money flowed out of gold ETFs in June.<\/strong> According to the World Gold Council, 74.3 tonnes of gold (nearly $9 billion) left gold ETFs in June; North American funds lost $5.5 billion, making it the weakest first half since 2013. Global holdings slipped to 4,121 tonnes. The main driver was the price pullback and expectations that rates will stay higher for longer. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kitco.com\/news\/article\/2026-07-08\/investors-flee-gold-etfs-june-hawkish-fed-expectations-drive-liquidation\">Kitco, 8 July 2026<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li><strong>A modest bounce closed the week.<\/strong> On 9 July gold rebounded above $4,100, even as the Fed minutes and Hormuz risk kept bond yields elevated. The week&#8217;s picture stayed two-way: macro pressure to the downside, geopolitics to the upside. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kitco.com\/news\/article\/2026-07-09\/gold-rebounds-above-4100-fed-minutes-hormuz-risk-keep-yields-firm-kitco-am\">Kitco, 9 July 2026<\/a>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Sentiment check<\/h2>\n<p>From the watchlist: in a commentary published on 8 July, Peter Schiff warned that investors are being misled by the Fed&#8217;s rhetoric, arguing that &#8220;inflation is a choice&#8221; the central bank will ultimately make. Schiff remains bullish on metals \u2014 though his lofty price targets are his personal view, not a forecast to be taken as fact. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/markets\/commodities\/26\/07\/60326216\/peter-schiff-says-fed-distraction-masks-precious-metals-buying-window-seasonality-agrees\">Benzinga, 8 July 2026<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2>This week&#8217;s price and what it means for the Estonian investor<\/h2>\n<p>Dollar-side weakness in gold feeds through to the Estonian counter price too, even if the euro\u2013dollar rate softens the move. In our price list a 1 oz gold coin currently costs roughly \u20ac3,720\u20133,780: for example a <a href=\"https:\/\/goldmansons.ee\/en\/?p=2337\">1 oz Austrian Philharmonic gold coin<\/a> at ~\u20ac3,725, a <a href=\"https:\/\/goldmansons.ee\/en\/?p=2351\">1 oz British Britannia gold coin<\/a> at ~\u20ac3,718, and a <a href=\"https:\/\/goldmansons.ee\/en\/?p=2347\">1 oz Canadian Maple Leaf gold coin<\/a> at ~\u20ac3,780. Silver has been choppier than gold \u2014 a 1 oz <a href=\"https:\/\/goldmansons.ee\/en\/?p=2852\">Austrian Philharmonic silver coin<\/a> costs us about \u20ac73.<\/p>\n<p>In practice, a week like this means the short-term price hinges mainly on the Fed&#8217;s tone and geopolitics, so direction is hard to predict. For a buyer of physical metal, the long-term view and the premium at the moment of purchase matter more than a single day&#8217;s swing. If you are weighing a purchase, it pays to watch the spot price and spread your buying over time rather than trying to catch &#8220;the bottom.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><em>This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell precious metals. Precious metal prices fluctuate. Before making any investment decision, consider your own circumstances and consult a specialist if necessary.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Goldman &amp; Sons editorial team<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold hovers near $4,100 as money leaves gold ETFs, the Fed keeps a hawkish tone and Hormuz tensions lift oil. HSBC trims its forecast.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":3292,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[129],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3295","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-turu-uudised"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/goldmansons.ee\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3295","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/goldmansons.ee\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/goldmansons.ee\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goldmansons.ee\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3295"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/goldmansons.ee\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3295\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goldmansons.ee\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3292"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/goldmansons.ee\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3295"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goldmansons.ee\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3295"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goldmansons.ee\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3295"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}